AGP Executive Report

Financial Crime Crackdown: Kenya’s DCI arrested 13 suspects in Nairobi tied to an international fake gold and counterfeit US dollar syndicate, seizing 65 fake gold bars and $750,000 in counterfeit cash plus materials allegedly used to manufacture currency. Regional Security Spillover: Renewed fighting in Ethiopia’s north is reviving fears of a wider Horn of Africa conflict, with Ethiopia accusing Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of backing forces against the federal government while the Red Sea situation adds extra pressure. Red Sea Tech & Trade Risk: The Houthis’ expanded control around Yemen’s Red Sea routes is raising security and economic stakes for Red Sea states, with Bab el-Mandeb described as a key chokepoint for global shipping. Sudan Human Impact: Reporting from North Darfur highlights how renewed shelling around El Fasher is pushing families into repeated displacement and breaking fragile livelihoods. Health in Displacement: A study from Somalia’s IDP camps reports laboratory-confirmed malaria and related factors among febrile adults, underscoring ongoing risks in crowded, disrupted settings. Agriculture & Resilience: Nigeria’s push for demand-driven agricultural extension services aims to improve farm productivity by tailoring advice to farmers’ needs and market requirements.

Sudan War & Tech-Driven Survival: Displaced young Sudanese are turning to entrepreneurship to survive as fighting keeps disrupting jobs and services, while families like Hawa’s rebuild life amid shelling and repeated displacement. Agriculture & Data for Farmers: Nigeria’s agriculture ministry calls for shifting extension services from supply-driven advice to demand-driven, verified information tied to farmers’ needs and market requirements—an approach Sudan could adapt for resilient food systems. Health Tech Milestone: Rutherford Regional Health System hit its 100th robotic-assisted surgery using the da Vinci system, highlighting how advanced surgical tech can expand access when infrastructure and training align. Climate Risk for Sudan: Super El Niño forecasts warn of major heat impacts across the Sahel, with Sudan among the hardest-hit, raising the stakes for cooling, water, and health preparedness. Regional Security Tech & Trade: The Houthi expansion along the Red Sea raises shipping risks that can ripple into Sudan’s economy, while Ethiopia’s Damerjog–Dewele pipeline plan targets faster fuel delivery from Djibouti to reduce logistics strain. AI & Misinformation: A fact-check flags an AI-manipulated video claim involving India’s Jaishankar, a reminder that digital manipulation can distort regional narratives.

Sudan War & Humanitarian Impact: A mother in El Fasher, Hawa, described shelling that nearly cost her son’s life, highlighting how renewed fighting keeps pushing families into displacement and breaks fragile recovery efforts. Legal Accountability in Wartime: Sudan’s Women and Child Advisory Council says “collaboration” accusations against detained women lack a clear definition, urging tighter scrutiny because wartime coercion and fear can blur responsibility. Foreign Interference & Diplomacy: Sudan’s foreign minister condemned the US for blocking Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan’s visa and renewed calls to end foreign weapons and fighters feeding the army–RSF war. Regional Tech & Energy Spillovers: Ethiopia’s Damerjog–Dewele refined-products pipeline plan (with major storage capacity) aims to cut fuel transport time from Djibouti to Addis Ababa—an infrastructure shift that can affect regional stability and logistics. Climate Risk for Sudan: Projections tied to a “super El Niño” warn Sudan could face severe heat impacts, with the Sahel among the hardest-hit regions. Sudan Chemical Weapons Probe: A Washington screening of “The Invisible Weapon” renewed calls for an independent investigation into chemical weapons allegations tied to Sudan’s conflict.

Sudan War & Accountability: Sudan’s foreign minister Mohieldin Salim Ahmed Ibrahim told the UN that the US blocked Army Chief Gen. Burhan’s visa and urged an end to foreign weapons, ammunition, and fighters feeding the civil war, calling for disarmament and state control of arms. Chemical Weapons Watch: A Washington screening of Moroccan journalist Youssef Jajili’s documentary “The Invisible Weapon” renewed calls for an independent OPCW investigation into alleged chemical weapons use in Sudan, with US Senator Chris Van Hollen citing findings on responsibility. Human Rights in Detention: Sudan’s Women and Child Advisory Council head said accusations of “collaboration” against detained women lack clear definitions, leaving cases open to wartime interpretation, and urged continued review and scrutiny. Regional Tech & Security Spillover: Ethiopia’s army chief accused Eritrea, Sudan, and Egypt of backing Tigray-linked forces as fighting spreads, while analysts warn the Horn’s port and Red Sea pressures could deepen. Climate Risk for Sudan: New projections tied to “Super El Niño” warn the Sahel—including Sudan—faces major heat impacts, with Sudan among the countries expected to see excess heat-related deaths. Health Alerts: DR Congo reported 8,000+ confirmed Ebola cases as violence and displacement threaten response, while Morocco saw diphtheria resurface after vaccination disruptions. Energy Infrastructure: The Saudi-Egypt electricity interconnection is nearing trial operations, a step toward wider regional grid cooperation.

Sudan-US Visa & War Fuel: Sudan’s foreign minister Mohieldin Salim Ahmed Ibrahim condemned the US for blocking Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan’s UNGA visa, urging an end to foreign weapons, ammunition and fighters that keep the army–RSF war going. UN Human Rights & Conflict Tech: A UN-backed probe highlighted how outside support networks have supplied fighters and military technology, keeping the conflict and displacement crisis alive. Super El Niño Heat Risk: New climate projections warn “Super El Niño” could drive major excess heat deaths across Africa, with South Africa facing about 1,200 additional heat deaths (Sep 2026–Feb 2027) and the Sahel facing tens of thousands more, including Sudan. Regional Spillover Fears (Ethiopia): Ethiopia’s army chief accused Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of backing TPLF-linked rebels as fighting spreads into Afar, raising the risk of a wider Horn of Africa conflict. Energy Infrastructure: Egypt and Saudi Arabia’s $1.8bn electricity interconnection is entering trial operations, aiming to exchange up to 3,000MW—an infrastructure win with regional grid implications. Military Tech Watch: Turkmenistan reportedly deployed China’s FK-2000 air defense system, with Sudan listed among operators.

UN Human Rights & Sudan: A Paris Integration Forum seminar in Geneva put Sudan’s war under sharper scrutiny, with calls for an independent UN/OPCW probe into allegations of chlorine-based weapons use. AI Governance: At the UN, leaders pushed for AI safety guardrails as UN officials warned about autonomous AI risks; a separate report says Google’s Gemini accessed three firms during a cybersecurity test, fueling calls for stronger controls. Climate Tech & Health: New projections tied to “Super El Niño” warn of extreme heat deaths across Africa, including Sudan, alongside calls for early-warning systems and cooling support. Sudan Justice: A Sudanese prisoner case highlighted alleged arbitrary detention and torture after arrest at Port Sudan, raising fresh concerns about fair-trial guarantees. Regional Security Tech: Ethiopia’s army chief accused Eritrea, and implied Sudan and Egypt, of backing TPLF amid renewed fighting, while military-tech reporting flagged new air-defense and drone supply dynamics across the region. UNGA Diplomacy: UAE officials used UNGA to renew calls for peaceful dispute resolution and de-escalation, while stressing Sudan as a humanitarian priority. Education & Resilience in Sudan: UNESCO launched literacy and lifelong learning support in Aroma, Kassala, and backed landslide preparedness for tens of thousands in Darfur and the Red Sea Hills.

AI Safety & Cybersecurity: UN leaders pushed for global guardrails as reports said Google’s Gemini accessed three firms during a security test, adding fuel to the AI-risk debate. Climate & Public Health: A new El Niño warning says extreme heat could drive about 451,000 excess deaths globally, with Sudan among the hardest hit and calls for early-warning systems and cooling support. Education in Conflict Zones: UNESCO and partners launched a literacy and adult learning programme in Aroma, Kassala, aiming to expand learning beyond classrooms for communities affected by displacement. Disaster Risk Reduction: UNESCO backed landslide preparedness in Darfur and the Red Sea Hills, targeting around 70,000 people with better risk information and coordination. Sudan Tech & Security: A study on “Red Sea Axis” influence operations describes AI-generated content networks shaping perceptions across Sudan and the Horn, highlighting digital conflict risks. Military Tech Imports: Data shows drones are increasingly central in DR Congo, Sudan and Mali, with foreign suppliers feeding surveillance and strike capabilities.

UN & Climate Accountability: A new editorial argues the UN’s credibility is slipping because it still fails at its core job—stopping wars—while conflict-driven emissions worsen climate change. AI in Conflict Verification: A report says Google Earth’s new AI image-generation tool makes it easier to fake “satellite truth,” raising urgent calls for guardrails as AI-powered misinformation spreads in the Gulf and beyond. Horn of Africa Tech & Security: Analysis warns the Horn is becoming a global choke-point, with drone and port-linked rivalries pulling in Sudan and neighboring states. Military Drones in Africa: Data shows Sudan is among Africa’s top drone importers, using Chinese and Turkish systems as wars intensify. Sudan’s War Tech Impact: Coverage highlights how drones and communications disruptions are shaping battlefield conditions, including in the wider Horn. Global Heat Risk for Sudan: A study projects “super El Niño” could add ~451,000 heat deaths worldwide, with Sudan among the hardest-hit in Africa. Diplomacy & Mediation Tech: UN-focused reporting backs faster, technology-supported mediation and observer efforts to stop conflicts earlier. Ethiopia’s Tigray Escalation: Fighting has reignited in Tigray, with reports of communications blackouts affecting civilians and services.

AI & Verification: Google Earth’s new AI image-generation feature is blending prompts into real satellite views, raising alarms for conflict “ground truth” workflows and the need for stronger guardrails. Sudan Conflict & Media: A study revisits how pan-Arab outlets framed Sudan’s civil war, showing how coverage choices shape public understanding of the SAF–RSF conflict. Climate Risk for Sudan: A new projection warns “Super El Niño” could add about 451,000 heat-related deaths globally, with Sudan among the hardest-hit in Africa. Sudan Food Security Tech: FAO launched a nationwide livestock vaccination drive in Sudan to protect food security and livelihoods amid conflict pressures. Cybersecurity: Kenya saw a sharp rise in DDoS attacks, a reminder that digital services across the region face growing disruption and data-theft risks. UN Tech & Diplomacy: UNGA coverage highlights calls for AI governance and faster crisis mediation, including technology-enhanced monitoring for ceasefires.

Sudan Tech & Science: A new study warns the “super El Niño” forming in the Pacific could add about 451,000 heat-related deaths worldwide by February, with Sudan projected around 17,500–17,600 extra deaths in the next six months—another climate shock for already strained health and cooling systems. Health & Research: A clinical paper reports on ESBL gene characterization (blaCTX-M and blaTEM) in uropathogenic E. coli from ICU patients in Iran, highlighting how antibiotic resistance keeps spreading through hospital settings. Food Safety & Public Health: Reports from Nigeria describe dye-laced palm oil and fake red pepper made with industrial dyes (including Sudan III/IV), raising serious risks for consumers and pointing to weak market controls. Digital Security: Kenya saw DDoS attacks surge 114% year-on-year, underscoring how cyberattacks can disrupt online services and commerce. Regional Tech Policy: Saudi Arabia used the UN to push for freedom of navigation across key waterways—important for trade routes that also support regional tech supply chains.

Climate & Health: A new study warns the developing 2026-27 “super El Niño” could add about 451,000 heat-related deaths worldwide by February, with the biggest burden in the Global South—including projected ~17,500 in Sudan and ~31,400 in Nigeria—as extreme heat stacks on top of drought, floods, and crop losses. Sudan Conflict & Economy: Sudan’s war is deepening the economic crisis, with traders protesting rising taxes amid ongoing instability. Food Safety: Investigations in Nigeria describe dangerous adulteration in everyday staples: palm oil and ground pepper reportedly being mixed with industrial dyes (including Sudan III/IV) and other additives to boost color and thickness—raising serious public health concerns for the region. Cybersecurity: Kenya reports a sharp rise in DDoS attacks—up 114.3% year-on-year—showing how online services and public systems are increasingly targeted. Ethiopia Spillover Risk: Fighting has returned to Ethiopia’s Tigray, with reports of communications disruptions and renewed clashes that could worsen regional instability. UN Tech & Governance: At UNGA, leaders pushed for stronger multilateral rules and discussed AI risks, alongside calls to reform the Security Council and better fund global priorities.

Climate & Health: A new “super El Niño” warning says extreme heat could add about 451,000 deaths worldwide by February 2027, with Sudan projected around 17,600 extra heat deaths and Sahel countries facing tens of thousands more. Humanitarian & Food Security: As El Niño threatens lower rainfall, FAO launched a nationwide livestock vaccination drive in Sudan targeting 9.8 million animals and 1.2 million households to protect livelihoods amid conflict. Regional Tech/Health AI: Anthropic and OpenEvidence are expanding medical AI access, aiming to bring clinician-focused tools to about 100 countries. Sudan Conflict & Economy: Reports highlight Sudan’s war deepening the economic crisis, including trader protests over rising taxes, while drone attacks and instability continue to disrupt daily life. Maritime Security: The Houthi push near the Red Sea raises risks for Sudan and other Red Sea states, potentially escalating wider regional tensions. UN Diplomacy: Nigeria’s UNGA push for Security Council reform and Africa’s representation continues, with Sudan’s legitimacy and conflict also in the spotlight.

Sudan–Saudi Maritime Talks: With Sudan still at war and parliament absent, Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan is pushing forward work on a long-running Red Sea maritime boundary dispute with Saudi Arabia, including the 1974 common-zone framework. Climate & Health: New University of Chicago research warns “Godzilla” Super El Niño could drive about 451,000 extra heat deaths globally by Feb 2027, with Sudan projected to add roughly 17,500—part of a wider Sahel-heavy risk picture. Food Security via Livestock Vaccines: FAO launched a nationwide campaign to vaccinate 9.8 million animals and protect 1.2 million livestock-owning households across Sudan amid displacement and conflict. Ethiopia Spillover Risk: Fighting has returned to Ethiopia’s Tigray, with airports seized and tensions spreading toward Afar and Amhara—raising fears the Pretoria peace deal could unravel and pull in Eritrea. UN Reform Push (Africa Seat): Nigeria’s UNGA push, echoed by VP Kashim Shettima and President Tinubu, demands Security Council reform—at least two permanent African seats with veto rights—framing it as essential for restoring trust and accountability. AI in Healthcare (Global): OpenEvidence’s “ChatGPT for doctors” is reported valued at $15B after raising $250M, signaling fast-growing medical AI access that could matter for Sudan’s future health tech planning.

Climate Risk for Sudan: New research from the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab warns that “Super El Niño” could drive extreme heat deaths across the Sahel, with Sudan projected to face about 17,500 additional heat-related deaths between September and February, as part of a wider global estimate of 451,000 excess deaths from heat by February 2027. Sudan’s War Economy: In Port Sudan, families describe how the conflict has crushed purchasing power as the Sudanese pound weakens and transport and food costs surge, turning small daily earnings into a struggle to cover basics. UN Tech & Governance: At UNGA 81, Nigeria’s Tinubu (via VP Shettima) renewed calls for UN Security Council reform, arguing Africa needs permanent representation—an issue that also intersects with how global institutions handle emerging tech and security threats. Global Health R&D: Collaborations Pharmaceuticals says it has identified CPI-1058, a broad-spectrum antiviral targeting Ebola strains, as outbreaks continue to strain health systems. Legal Order Under Pressure: Dutch PM Rob Jetten urged countries to defend the ICC and international legal institutions, citing humanitarian suffering including in Sudan.

Sudan Conflict Tech & Security: Reuters reports the RSF has intensified drone attacks on government-held towns in North Kordofan, including a strike on a crowded courtroom in Um Ruwaba and another on a college in al-Obeid, underscoring how drones are reshaping Sudan’s battlefield and civilian risk. Regional Instability: Fighting has widened in Ethiopia’s Tigray, with offensives reported in Afar and Amhara, raising fears the conflict could spill into wider Horn of Africa dynamics. Climate & Health (Super El Niño): A new projection from the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab warns “super El Niño” could drive extreme heat deaths globally, with Sudan estimated among the hardest-hit in the Sahel—heat warnings, health outreach, and cooling support are urged. UN & AI Governance: UN Secretary-General António Guterres highlights four “tests of power” (war/peace, inequality, climate, AI) and calls for stronger AI governance and Security Council reform. Sudan-Linked Development: A China-supported FAO project in Sudan’s Red Sea State says it has helped over 40,000 people with agricultural and livestock support to rebuild livelihoods amid conflict. Ebola & Rare Viruses: A background explainer reviews Ebola’s transmission, fatality rates, and the challenge of diagnosing and treating rare subtypes, including the Bundibugyo strain.

Climate & Health: A new University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab report warns this year’s “super El Niño” could drive up to 451,000 excess heat-related deaths worldwide by February 2027, with Sudan projected around 17,500 additional deaths in the next six months and the Sahel among the hardest hit; researchers say the heat could also worsen drought, wildfires, and flooding, and urge heat forecasts, cooling centers, and extra medical staffing. AI for Healthcare: Anthropic and OpenEvidence are expanding free AI medical support to doctors in about 100 low- and middle-income countries, including Sudan, using peer-reviewed research and treatment guidance to help clinicians with limited access to specialists and journals. Sudan Governance: Sudan rejected US remarks questioning government legitimacy amid UNGA-related tensions, including US visa conditions tied to a 90-day ceasefire. UN Tech Governance: Czech President Petr Pavel urged AI to develop under international rules and safeguards, warning that governance after harm is too late.